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Bi, L, Ren, B, Zhong, D and Hu, L (2015) Real-Time Construction Schedule Analysis of Long-Distance Diversion Tunnels Based on Lithological Predictions Using a Markov Process. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 141(02).

  • Type: Journal Article
  • Keywords: Diversion tunnels; Construction scheduling; Simulation; Markov process; Construction management; Decision support systems; Cost and schedule;
  • ISBN/ISSN: 0733-9364
  • URL: https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0000935
  • Abstract:
    Schedules are major concerns in construction planning and management. The mutual interferences among construction activities of long-distance diversion tunnels (LDDTs) are complicated because of their crisscrossing and intensive layout, which will affect scheduling to some degree. Especially, lithology has a conclusive influence on underground construction. But the lithology determination methods of current construction simulation, such as the trend of extrapolation from observations, do not fully consider lithology’s inherent characteristics and the transition probability between different lithological classifications. In the present study, the authors propose a hierarchical simulation model coupling the critical path method (CPM) and cycle operation network (CYCLONE) to arrange the intricate construction sequence of LDDTs. Additionally, a Markov prediction model is embedded into the CYCLONE model as a specific component to consider lithological uncertainty and estimate construction parameters of each cycle automatically. Based on the proposed simulation model, a real-time construction schedule analysis system is built. A case study project is analyzed to demonstrate the feasibility of the methodology and to highlight its capabilities. For this project, a reasonable planned schedule is proposed, an optimal equipment selection is determined, the excavation intensity is balanced, and it is verified that a simulation model considering lithological uncertainty using a Markov process provides a higher level of accuracy in prediction than traditional simulations. Finally, regulatory measures are presented for site management based on the simulation results and the deviations between the actual and planned schedules.

Boz, M A and El-adaway, I H (2015) Creating a Holistic Systems Framework for Sustainability Assessment of Civil Infrastructure Projects. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 141(02).

Kaminsky, J and Javernick-Will, A (2015) Theorizing the Internal Social Sustainability of Sanitation Organizations. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 141(02).

Kashani, H, Ashuri, B, Shahandashti, S M and Lu, J (2015) Investment Valuation Model for Renewable Energy Systems in Buildings. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 141(02).

Lee, S (2015) Determination of Priority Weights under Multiattribute Decision-Making Situations: AHP versus Fuzzy AHP. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 141(02).

Lei, Z, Han, S, Bouferguène, A, Taghaddos, H, Hermann, U and Al-Hussein, M (2015) Algorithm for Mobile Crane Walking Path Planning in Congested Industrial Plants. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 141(02).

Leung, M, Bowen, P, Liang, Q and Famakin, I (2015) Development of a Job-Stress Model for Construction Professionals in South Africa and Hong Kong. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 141(02).

Li, H, Xu, Z and Demeulemeester, E (2015) Scheduling Policies for the Stochastic Resource Leveling Problem. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 141(02).

Liao, C (2015) Optimal Inspection Strategies for Labor Inspection in the Construction Industry. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 141(02).

Lu, W, Zhang, L and Li, Z (2015) Influence of Negotiation Risk Attitude and Power on Behaviors and Outcomes When Negotiating Construction Claims. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 141(02).

Mostafa, M A and El-Gohary, N M (2015) Semantic System for Stakeholder-Conscious Infrastructure Project Planning and Design. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 141(02).

Russell, M M, Liu, M, Howell, G and Hsiang, S M (2015) Case Studies of the Allocation and Reduction of Time Buffer through Use of the Last Planner System. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 141(02).

Sun, Y and Zhang, L (2015) Balancing Public and Private Stakeholder Interests in BOT Concessions: Minimum Revenue Guarantee and Royalty Scheme Applied to a Water Treatment Project in China. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 141(02).